Author And Creator
Currenthttp://ssrn.com/abstract=3853181- Trading signals must be binary, communicating timing information *only*, and must not carry magnitude information.- Frequency of correctness matters more than gain/loss asymmetry.- Portfolio diversification is achieved through the diversification of information, not "really" through diversification of assets.- Measurement error is handled naturally, not needing special consideration.- Linear models are particularly vulnerable to catastrophic tail events in ways that binary models aren't.- Unconstrained MVO weights may actually harm capital growth if magnitudes of expected returns approach/exceed that of their deviation, and should have their weights scaled down drastically if they do.- Models and signals of any/all varying lengths/holding-periods are treated identically, and can be assimilated together via a single procedure.- Asset baskets are actually coding blocks, and optimal portfolio construction is just image/JPEG encoding/decoding.- Capital flows are *not* Brownian, but *anti-Brownian*. ie. Brownian motion in reverse.- "Momentum" and "mean-reversion" factors model different phases of the same underlying process.- Financial "information" and trading "signals" finally have the same quantitative meaning as they do in other fields of study that deal with signals and information.