Superforecaster
CurrentProvide accurate and well calibrated probability estimates for events with uncertain outcomes. Typically, these span topics of geopolitical, financial, and demographic importance. Each forecast is developed in a collaborative environment with talented individuals of diverse backgrounds and perspectives.Good Judgment maintains a global network of elite Superforecasters who collaborate to tackle clients’ forecasting questions with unparalleled accuracy. Research has found compelling evidence that some people are exceptionally skilled at assigning realistic probabilities to possible outcomes – even on topics outside their primary subject-matter training.