Proprietary hedging strategies in commodities and quant models for derivatives trading with focus on commodity players, family offices, hedge funds, and brokers. I specialize in risk hedging techniques using VaR and CVaR for commodities, developing trading strategies for managed futures funds and CTAs with AI-enabled quant models, generating backtesting metrics, and performing pre-trade risk analysis.As a quant professional my experience is in following areas: 1. Risk Analysis using VaR and CVaR: Use of historic VaR and CVaR, parametric CVaR (95%) under a normal distribution and non-parametric using gaussian kernels CVaR (95%) for effective risk management and hedging. 2. Comprehensive insight to metrics: includes standard deviation, downside risk, drawdown, return statistics, rolling returns, Sharpe ratio, cumulative returns, CAGR, z-score, limits3. Visual insights: including Rolling Beta plots, Distribution of Returns, Rolling volatility, Rolling Sharpe ratio, Return Quantiles, Cumulative returns on a log scale, Drawdown periods and Underwater Plot4. Quantitative expertise: using tools like yfinance, pandas datareader, matplotlib, numpy and various models such as Linear/Logistic Regression, SVM, XGBoost, Random Forest, and Decision Tree Learner on financial dataset.5. Volatility Analysis: Employing alpha and beta for combined performance and volatility analysis. Calculation of ADR, SDR, ATR.6. Cointegration Analysis: Augmented Dickey Fuller test, p-value heatmap, correlation matrix.7. Expertly identified trade within derivatives: futures & options in iron condor strategy and backwardation8. Captured detailed transaction specifics, including entry/exit dates, prices, profits, losses, and percentage returns. 9. Preprocessed financial data: null handling, one-hot encoding, ADASYN, metric derivation, continuous feature binning, outlier treatment.10. Model evaluation metrics: Confusion Matrix, ROC Curve, Regression, Recall, Precision, and Accuracy.Hands-on exposure in following tools for quant modeling:1. Python: Backwardation Hedging & Risk Analysis, Buy and hold Strategy Analysis with Benchmark, Iron Condor Strategy, Statistical Pair Trading, Put Option Strategy Backtesting.2. Power BI: Hedged vs Unhedged VaR of a Commodities Portfolio 3. Knime Analytics: Calculation of VaR and CVaR of a Unhedged and Hedged Commodities Portfolio4. MATLAB: SEIR model implementation, Model building, Equations, Jacobian, eigenvalues/vectors, determinants, trajectory plotting using GraphCode.Please refer to the Projects section for a full description
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Co-Founder - Quant And AiConvexiumSingapore -
Co-Founder - Quant & AiConvexium Apr 2021 - PresentNew Delhi, Delhi, IndiaAs a Co-Founder of Quant & AI division at Convexium, I excel in Python-based backtesting of investment strategies, encompassing volatility indicators, option trade identification, and model deployment. Proficient in cointegration analysis, data preprocessing, and utilizing tools like Power BI and Tableau, I specialize in comprehensive financial data analysis and model optimization for informed decision-making.Convexium revolutionizes financial analytics by seamlessly integrating AI-driven algorithmic trading strategies into our Machine Learning-based Deep Analytics solutions. Through the power of advanced machine learning, our strategies discern intricate market patterns and real-time scenarios, ensuring precise decision-making. This innovation enhances investment portfolios, debt financing, lending, and inclusive finance strategies, adding a new dimension to risk analytics. Our AI algorithms detect hidden trends and correlations within vast datasets, optimizing trading for maximum returns. This offering caters to fund managers, institutional investors, fintech startups, banks, and lending companies, enabling agile capitalization on market opportunities. Collaborating with credit experts and data scientists, our strategies align with growth goals, positioning clients at the forefront of fintech evolution. In a dynamic market where seconds matter, Convexium's AI-powered strategies empower confident and accurate trading decisions.We help our financial partners create value and build successful inclusive finance strategies through a scalable technology infrastructure. Through a combination of best-of-breed credit analytics products, professional services and domain experts for developing solutions that align with your growth strategies, we provide highly skilled data scientists, machine learning and big data analytics consultants.
Arnav Gupta Education Details
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Mathematics -
Computer Science -
Computer Science -
Mathematics And Computer Science
Frequently Asked Questions about Arnav Gupta
What company does Arnav Gupta work for?
Arnav Gupta works for Convexium
What is Arnav Gupta's role at the current company?
Arnav Gupta's current role is Co-Founder - Quant and AI.
What schools did Arnav Gupta attend?
Arnav Gupta attended Amity University, Mitx Courses, Mitx Courses, Delhi Public School Mathura Road.
Who are Arnav Gupta's colleagues?
Arnav Gupta's colleagues are Rajnish Gupta, Cfa, Avnish Gupta.
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