Analytics and consultancy encompassing:Health analytics and informatics, unique reconfiguration modelling expertise, activity forecasting, capacity modelling (beds, theatres etc), population health management, bespoke user friendly planning tools, scenario models, geospatial mapping and drive time analysis, evidence based decision support, data science, project management, clinical risk stratification algorithms, statistical process control (SPC)...doing things properly.

NEOM - Generating phased capacity plans to deliver healthcare facilities during the development of long term services for The Line and neighbouring Regions.

Various assignments across Ireland to establish baselines and project demand and supply going forward to determine future capacity requirements in the acute hospital sector including, Cork, Kerry, Clonmel and Waterford

Undertook comprehensive whole hospital capacity modelling for many sites including..Taunton, Yeovil, Leighton and Bradford as well as ED modelling for many more hospitals using unique tried and tested modelling methodology

Developed comprehensive activity and capacity model for the whole of St George’s Hospital in London for SOC/OBC work up

From Sophie Hargreaves - MFT Director of Strategy...“Guy undertook a very comprehensive activity and capacity modelling exercise for all clinical services at North Manchester to a very tight deadline and to a very high standard. He clearly understood our requirements and delivered a model that allowed us to test the impact of various sets of assumptions swiftly and confidently. His solutions to various modelling challenges under a great deal of pressure showed his clarity of thought which meant we were able to specify adjustments and have them turned round swiftly. I particularly welcomed the innovation Guy deployed to model reconfiguration of services between different sites which allowed us to put together a realistic, affordable and deliverable core scenario that could readily be communicated to our divisional management. He built strong relationships with the team, including the programme management and the Informatics/BI team and the handover of the work has enabled us to continue using the models to adjust the scenario for our business case and support the estates and finance work that his activity and capacity work underpins. Overall I felt that I was able to challenge Guy and that he would consistently find solutions that met our needs to progress the work to OBC. Great modelling work that I would not hesitate to recommend”

Covid Analytics working with NHS digital/DH/PHE

A reference from JV Smyth, Consultant Vascular Surgeon and Clinical Director about Guy’s work on this project...“Guy’s modelling was very clearly organised, showing a good grasp of the complexity of the underlying heterogenous data dealing with vascular services in GM. This allowed us to reflect each of the site options for different elements of the service swiftly and accurately. The integration of the modelling with other supporting analytics such as mapping, waiting list data and growth forecasting meant we could assess each set of assumptions and their influence on the overall shape of the service, particularly their impact on future activity, capacity and workforce. The flexible interface also allowed us to test variable scenarios and study the impact in a live meeting setting as necessary. There was a good level of clinical detail retained in the modelling too which meant we could see how it related to our proposed service models and overall I found the engagement useful as it gave us confidence that the outputs were robust to support our business case. JV Smyth - MB ChB, FRCS, ChMConsultant Vascular Surgeon and Clinical LeadManchester University NHS Foundation TrustClinical Lead for Vascular ServiceGM Improving Specialist Care Program”More generally I developed analytics to underpin business cases for 4 specialised services for Greater Manchester Health & Social Care Partnership (GMHSCP) and went on to Work as a senior COVID analyst for NHS England.

Design and delivery of user-friendly activity and capacity forecasting tool for beds, theatres, outpatients and ED. Use of population demographics, local demand, commissioner intentions, repatriation expectations, service reconfiguration plans

Built peak demand models to determine treatment space capacity for new ED capital scheme. Also developed assessment bed capacity model to reflect new pathways

Undertook detailed planning exercise to streamline the building of scenarios for activity, capacity and finance for a hospital development

Project lead for Greater Manchester wide project to transform breast services. Also senior analyst across other TU priority projects

QIPP analyst within a clinical commissioning group working closely with commissioning managers and Dr Foster

Data mining national SUS, QIPP analysis, data flows and presenting benchmarked reports to specialist service leads

Single handedly undertook comprehensive activity, bed and theatre capacity modelling for reconfiguration across three hospital sites underpinned by drive time logic, commissioning intentions and a suite of performance metrics

Worked as BDO associate on bed, theatre and diagnostics capacity and workforce planning

Distribution of bed demand by clinical division to support winter bed mananagement and help relieve pressure on elective surgery and accident & emergency

Integrating data from primary, secondary, social services and community. Designed risk stratification algorithms and reporting to the right people at the right time for clinical decision making and to support population level risk management/ commissioning

Distribution of bed demand to support seasonal bed distribution, casemix adjusted length of stay targetting,

Partnered PWC on analytics projects

OBC and FBC activity forecasting, bed and theatre capacity planning

acute service reviews, capacity modelling, scenario planning, feasibility studies, NHS analytics