Luc Marchand

Luc Marchand Email and Phone Number

Sovereign Credit Rating Expert @ UNDP Africa
London, GB
Luc Marchand's Location
London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Luc Marchand's Contact Details

Luc Marchand work email

Luc Marchand personal email

About Luc Marchand

Luc is a multilingual senior economist with a 30-year trajectory in sovereign and country risk analysis within prestigious banking institutions, rating agencies, and international organisations. Leveraging a rich history of innovation in risk assessment and management, I am now pursuing a senior advisory position to champion strategic initiatives in EMEA Sovereign Ratings and Climate Change insights. Dual citizen of the UK and France, fluent in English, French, and Russian.His core competencies are: Sovereign & Country Risk Analysis; Sovereign Rating & Debt Sustainability; Geopolitical & Reputational Risk Management; ESG & Climate Change Risk Mitigation; Strategic ; Leadership & Team Management, and : Innovative Risk Assessment Tool Development.

Luc Marchand's Current Company Details
UNDP Africa

Undp Africa

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Sovereign Credit Rating Expert
London, GB
Website:
undp.org/africa
Employees:
26
Luc Marchand Work Experience Details
  • Undp Africa
    Sovereign Credit Rating Expert
    Undp Africa
    London, Gb
  • Undp Africa
    Sovereign Credit Rating Expert
    Undp Africa
    London, Gb
  • Country Risk Company
    Ceo & Founder
    Country Risk Company Oct 2024 - Present
    • Provides sovereign advisory and capacity building to Emerging Market Sovereigns• Dispenses training on country risk analysis for global bank analysts and university students• Creates Country Risk assessment of sovereign and global risk dashboards.• Provides sovereign risk services and presentations for international organizations
  • Edhec Business School
    Guest Lecturer - Country Risk Analysis
    Edhec Business School Mar 2023 - Present
    London & Nice
    Responsibilities & Achievements:• Teach an introductory course on Country Risk Analysis to students in Master in Management, Program: M1 Financial Economics (Semester 2)
  • Country Risk Institute
    Senior Sovereign Advisor
    Country Risk Institute Jul 2023 - Oct 2024
    London, United Kingdom
    • Currently working of automation in monthly sovereign and global risk updates.• Conducted professional training on country risk analysis for global bank analysts,• Provided sovereign advisory services for international organizations
  • Université Paris Dauphine - Psl
    Lecturer - Country Risk Analysis
    Université Paris Dauphine - Psl Jan 2022 - Aug 2022
    London, England, United Kingdom
  • Natwest Group
    Director – Country Risk Analysis, Wholesale Credit Risk
    Natwest Group Apr 2016 - Feb 2022
    London, United Kingdom
    Responsibilities:• Lead and manage the Country Risk Analysis team which responsible for analysing, monitoring and reporting of sovereign risks for all relevant stakeholders, including Country Risk Crisis reports.• Write and direct the full reports on main sovereign ratings for material countries (e.g. the UK, Ireland, US, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Greece, Turkey...). Regular management meetings with authorities.• Deliver the weekly CV19 country risk dashboard and the monthly update of Top Country risks • Lead and direct the Sovereign Stress Testing for the BoE, EBA and other annual internal tests• Directly manage a team of three economists, with regular training and coaching.• Overall responsibility for country risk methodology and modelling.• Lead the Country Climate Change Risk working group on integration of climate risk into sovereign risk.Achievements:• Developed various Macro Dashboards aimed at monitoring the impact of CV19 on Sovereign Ratings.• Created and designed a “Country Risk Dashboard” of short-term country risks (sovereign, political, recession, FX...) using set of Early Warning Indicators using both market sources and Google Trends.• Developed and tested a new macroeconomic database for implementing country risk models and assessments present in the bank (Sovereign PD & LGD models, Country Watchlist Colours model). • Created in-house Country Reputational Risk model and Country Overall FX Risk tool to assess currency misalignments. Contributed to the evaluation of Country Legal Risk rankings.• Designed and lead comprehensive set of presentations, guides, training and coaching of a team of analysts on macroeconomic and country risk analyses and related models, systems, reporting.
  • Natwest Group
    Strategic And Country Risks Senior Manager, Enterprise Wide Risk
    Natwest Group Jul 2014 - Mar 2016
    London, United Kingdom
    Responsibilities:• Top macro risks for the bank: definition and narratives, assessment of relative likelihood, impact and preparedness. Integration into the overall macro stress testing process.• Country risk methodology and modelling. Country risk reporting: Eurozone, Africa and the Middle East. Achievements:• Created a new systematic and quantitative assessment of the probability of occurrence for a comprehensive list of macro risks based on big data and early warning indicators.• System implementation of a new Country Cap methodology.
  • Natwest Group
    Country Risk Senior Manager
    Natwest Group Sep 2011 - Jun 2014
    London, United Kingdom
    Responsibilities:• Overall responsibility for country risk methodology and modelling.• Country risk reporting, with main focus on the Eurozone, Africa and the Middle East.• Various contributions to country risk management: monthly portfolio reviews, assessment of country legal and business risks in countries of the EMEA region. Weekly briefs on main country risk news. • Contributions to the cross regional internal assessment: spillover risks in the Eurozone, for example.• Direct management of a team of analysts, statistical manager and modelling specialists for various high-profile projects related to country risk methodology, sovereign modelling and data management.Achievements:• Created a new Sovereign Database for more than 60 countries for implementing sovereign PD and LGD models after extensive review of the current country risk methodology.• Created the first methodology and model for Country Reputational Risk.• Created a methodology and model of EBA-like Bank Stress Test for European banks.• Contributed to the new T&C risk and Country Cap Methodology, including an override guide.
  • Standard & Poor'S
    Associate Director, Sovereign Ratings
    Standard & Poor'S Mar 2003 - Aug 2011
    London, England, United Kingdom
    Responsibilities:• Primary rating analyst for emerging markets: Oman, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, Jordan, and Azerbaijan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Seychelles, Georgia, Kazakhstan. Secondary analyst for Ukraine, Morocco, Tunisia, Cameroon, Benin, Mali, Senegal and Burkina Faso.• Conducted meetings with top officials at the Ministries of Finance & Economy, Central Banks, International organisations (IMF, WB, EBRD, UNDP) & professional organisations, US, UK, German and French embassies. Meetings included the Head of Government e.g. Morocco, Georgia.• Extensive exposure to press on both countries of primary responsibility and methodology. Speaker at international conferences. Liaised regularly with investors with interest in countries of responsibility.Achievements:• Performed macroeconomic forecasting. Advised the department on future macroeconomic statistics to be included in the sovereign database, including stock and flow analysis and debt sustainability.• Led in 2008-09 the S&P Global Default and Transition Study on Government Related Entities.• One of the few analysts in current role at S&P that has moved from Europe to Central Asia, Middle East and Africa with great ease. • Most remarkable articles were on stress scenarios of oil economies (Oil or Nothing? published in Dec 2004); The Problem of Contingent Liabilities in Kazakhstan (May 2007); Diversification in GCC Countries (July 2007); How Azerbaijan Is Responding To The Global Economic Turmoil (July 2009), Contingent Liabilities In Kuwait: How Much Do They Weigh On The Sovereign Rating? (June 2009); and more recently: Jordan’s Debt Stability Indicators: A Case For Fiscal Consolidation (June 2010); and FAQ On The Economic And Financial Impact Of Qatar's 2022 World Cup (December 2010).
  • Standard & Poor'S
    Associate, Sovereign Ratings
    Standard & Poor'S Dec 1998 - Feb 2003
    Responsibilities:• Primary rating analyst for Western Europe (Italy; Belgium, France, Luxembourg) and emerging markets (Kazakhstan and Ukraine), analyst for supranational & government supported institutions.• Actively participated in criteria review. Achievements:• Published articles in ‘Credit Week’ e.g. Pension liabilities in Europe, Dutch Disease in Kazakhstan, and Political Fragmentation in Italy and other articles related to economic and policy developments• Created a system of oil prices stress scenario for Kazakhstan.• Presented in criteria sessions analysis of Pension Liabilities in Europe and Debt Sustainability model.
  • Center For Studies On Modes Of Industrialization (Paris).
    Economist
    Center For Studies On Modes Of Industrialization (Paris). Oct 1994 - Nov 1998
    Expert for ANVIE (French Association for Valorisation of Research) on Russia for entrepreneurs/ bankers & Monetary/ Financial specialist for Institute of Economic Forecasting (Moscow) & CEMI .Research focused on Monetary and Financial Problems of Russia in Transition, Liquidity & Solvency of Russian enterprises in transition.
  • International Monetary Fund
    Economist
    International Monetary Fund Jun 1994 - Sep 1994
    Analyzed & published report on Eastern & Central European experiences with banking systems, & derived lessons for Russia.
  • Eurostat
    Expert
    Eurostat Dec 1993 - May 1994
    Created & compiled a multilingual (English/French/Russian) statistical dictionary. focal areas- Foreign Trade Statistics, Business Statistics, Business Registers, National Accounts.
  • Oecd - Ocde
    Consultant
    Oecd - Ocde Aug 1992 - Jul 1993
    Valorized & analyzed microstatistical data on CIS countries. Integrated database in macroeconomic model.Created data file of economics statistics for the CIS countries using Russian language publications.Translations in Russian/ English/ French; data verification of “CIS short-term economic indicators”.
  • Central Bank Of The Russian Federation (Bank Of Russia)
    Research Co-Ordinator
    Central Bank Of The Russian Federation (Bank Of Russia) Jul 1991 - Dec 1991
  • European Commission
    Intern - Directorate General For Economic And Financial Affairs
    European Commission Mar 1990 - Sep 1990

Luc Marchand Skills

Country Risk Analysis Economics Economic Policy Financial Fragility Sovereign Rating Analysis Creative Problem Solving Political Risk Analysis Emerging Markets Macroeconomics Central Asia Mena Former Soviet Union Rating Risk Management Credit Risk Systemic Risk Russian National Accounting Sovereign Sovereign Debt Meditation International Economics Analytics Economists Economic Statistics Economic Data Analysis Financial Risk Credit Econometrics Reputational Risk Analysis Eviews Fixed Income Market Risk Basel Ii Capital Markets International Relations Quantitative Analytics Finance Big Data Predictive Analytics Portfolio Management

Luc Marchand Education Details

Frequently Asked Questions about Luc Marchand

What company does Luc Marchand work for?

Luc Marchand works for Undp Africa

What is Luc Marchand's role at the current company?

Luc Marchand's current role is Sovereign Credit Rating Expert.

What is Luc Marchand's email address?

Luc Marchand's email address is lu****@****ail.com

What schools did Luc Marchand attend?

Luc Marchand attended Université Paris Dauphine - Psl, Sciences Po, Lycée Francois Villon, Ehess - Ecole Des Hautes Etudes En Sciences Sociales, University De Paris Ix Dauphine.

What are some of Luc Marchand's interests?

Luc Marchand has interest in Psychology, Development, Children, Creation Of Information Systems, Education, Poverty Alleviation, Experimental Economics, Diplomacy, Theory Of Liquidity, Transcendental Meditation.

What skills is Luc Marchand known for?

Luc Marchand has skills like Country Risk Analysis, Economics, Economic Policy, Financial Fragility, Sovereign Rating Analysis, Creative Problem Solving, Political Risk Analysis, Emerging Markets, Macroeconomics, Central Asia, Mena, Former Soviet Union.

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