Michael Normyle Email & Phone Number

New York, New York, United States

New York, New York, United States

Greater New York City Area

-Built recession-forecasting model using machine learning algorithm in R; accurately classifies 97% of expansion months and 97% of recession months out-of-sample from 2000-21-Research and write monthly note highlighting cyclical opportunities and threats for risk management for Fortune 200 and asset manager clients, emphasizing storytelling to simply convey complex topics-Designed cyclical leading indexes to address client needs: macroeconomic leading index publishable two weeks earlier… Show more -Built recession-forecasting model using machine learning algorithm in R; accurately classifies 97% of expansion months and 97% of recession months out-of-sample from 2000-21-Research and write monthly note highlighting cyclical opportunities and threats for risk management for Fortune 200 and asset manager clients, emphasizing storytelling to simply convey complex topics-Designed cyclical leading indexes to address client needs: macroeconomic leading index publishable two weeks earlier each month for prompter signals amid uncertainty of Covid-19 pandemic, and VIX leading index for volatility traders-Collaborate with Chief Economist on monthly outlines for flagship U.S. and international reports-Participate in client calls and draft responses to client questions on behalf of Chief Economist Show less

Greater New York City Area

-Research and write six ~2,000-word papers annually, advancing company’s thought leadership role-Manage team of economists for background research-Pitch U.S. and international research topics to Chief Economist bi-weekly-Conceive and author monthly 300-word article on economic and/or policy issues in Americas region-Create weekly executive summary for clients relating current economic news to ECRI’s recent research-Preferred fact-checker and editor for publicly-scrutinized… Show more -Research and write six ~2,000-word papers annually, advancing company’s thought leadership role-Manage team of economists for background research-Pitch U.S. and international research topics to Chief Economist bi-weekly-Conceive and author monthly 300-word article on economic and/or policy issues in Americas region-Create weekly executive summary for clients relating current economic news to ECRI’s recent research-Preferred fact-checker and editor for publicly-scrutinized television interview talking points, op-eds, and conference presentations due to detail-oriented nature and quick turnaround-Update 18 leading and coincident indexes monthly covering seven major economies; distill shifts in economic, inflation, and/or sectoral outlooks for clients Show less

New York, Ny

-Selected over longer-tenured colleagues to mentor new hire after only nine months at company-Led revamp of flagship leading index to reduce distortion from quantitative easing; tested 150+ indicators; lead time improved 150% post-2008-Entrusted with daily update of widely-used ECRI Industrial Price Index-Published 38 marketing articles on international economies and inflation on Reuters and ECRI sites

Woodlawn, Maryland, United States

-Created payroll pricing workbook that integrates with staffing and review workbooks; adopted agency-wide-Lead analyst on Fiscal Year (FY) 2011 pilot program to reduce agency budget lapse to less than one percent of budget; presented results to senior management on a weekly basis-Trained and mentored four new analysts on their responsibilities as members of my team-Produced semi-annual Homeland Security budget reports for the Office of Management and Budget-Developed annual… Show more -Created payroll pricing workbook that integrates with staffing and review workbooks; adopted agency-wide-Lead analyst on Fiscal Year (FY) 2011 pilot program to reduce agency budget lapse to less than one percent of budget; presented results to senior management on a weekly basis-Trained and mentored four new analysts on their responsibilities as members of my team-Produced semi-annual Homeland Security budget reports for the Office of Management and Budget-Developed annual reports for Congressional Appropriations Committees-Developed agency's rent and postage budgets for the President's Budget for FY 2011 and 2012-Lead or secondary analyst on eight budgets totaling $1.58 billion Show less

Baltimore, Maryland, United States

-Organized and delegated responsibilities to members of executive board-Planned and directed bi-weekly meeting of executive board

Baltimore, Maryland, United States

-Managed $7,000 operating budget and determined allocations among fixed costs, expenses, and purchases-Liaison between WJHU and Johns Hopkins Office of Student Involvement

Baltimore, Maryland, United States

-Supervised a team of music directors in selecting music appropriate for market-Worked with record labels’ promotion companies and provided weekly charts of their artists’ play counts

New York City Metropolitan Area

-Conducted a study of director compensation for Fortune 1000 companies using data from proxy statements-Developed a report analyzing year-over-year trends in director compensation amongst Fortune 100 firms -Published Fortune 100 data in September 2007 issue of Directorship magazine -Compiled and checked data for clients’ work

Baltimore, Maryland, United States

-Developed and implemented an integrated marketing campaign to increase qualified job applicants by 20 people over two-year period-Coordinated and promoted on campus marketing event in collaboration with two team members to inform students about career opportunities with the FBI-Earned Certificate of Appreciation from the FBI for work performed as an intern

Ma, Applied Economics

Ba, Economics, French

Activities and Societies: WJHU Radio, JHU News-Letter Graduated with University & Departmental Honors Entrepreneurship & Management Minor

Hs

Activities and Societies: Arister, French Club, Intramural Sports