Patrick Lucas Email & Phone Number

Montreal, Qc, Ca

Montreal, Quebec, Ca

Member of the senior team leading ACI's policy positions related to economic regulation, privatization, sustainability, taxation, charges and infrastructure management;Routinely deliver state of the industry presentations, webinars and insights as a thought leader for industry stakeholders, clients and ACI members; Oversee ACI World’s analytical outputs in connection to the airport business - World Airport Traffic Forecasts, World Airport Traffic Report, Airport Economics Report/KPIs and specialized economic studies and Policy Briefs

Montreal, Quebec, Ca

Provide intellectual leadership in the development of institutional research, strategic analyses, performance indicators, measurement methodologies and standardized statistical nomenclature in the area of airport economics and airport transport demand analysis; Act as organization’s focal point on all analytical and statistical matters in support of evidence-based decision making;Lead author of ACI’s flagship publication, the World Airport Traffic Report; Oversee the production of ACI’s World Airport Traffic Forecasts; Produce analytic commentary on the state of the industry for inclusion in press releases, reports, speeches, working papers; Serve as economic expert in advising national regulators and government stakeholders on developments related to airport economics and finance; Lead the development of methodological standards and analyses in tandem with aviation economists, statisticians and forecasters; Serve as Secretary for the Airport Traffic Think Tank (ACI Statistics and Forecasting Sub-Committee) which reports to the ACI Economics World Standing Committee;Deliver training seminars and presentations in economics, airport business analytics, statistics and forecasting; Support capacity building initiatives and advise on curricula as a member of ACI’s Global Training Faculty in coordination with other stakeholders and partners;Lead technology projects for user groups and collaborate with Information Technology staff by articulating statistical business needs, software development specifications/requirements and data dissemination tools; Partner, liaise and lead activities with other international organizations in area of expertise (e.g. IATA, ICAO, ATAG, ACI regional offices, etc.) and airport operators in the exchange of information, analytics, data, methodologies, forecasts and research;Coach and manage the work activities of direct reports made up of economists and forecasters; Manage contracts with external experts and vendors.

Montreal, Quebec, Ca

Chief economic researcher and author of the Airport Economics Report covering an array of key performance indicators and in depth analyses on the financial and infrastructure aspects of airports (Lead author of the report for the 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 editions);Conceptualized and authored the first ACI Policy Brief on Airport Ownership, Economic Regulation and Financial Performance drawing on a vast battery of indicators and global datasets;Lead and coordinated the work of departmental staff (5 direct reports) by reviewing and monitoring work plans, prioritizing activities and developing staff through coaching and appropriate training;Managed all statistical activities for ACI; Principal analyst and lead author of all monthly/annual airport traffic reports (e.g. Monthly Flash Traffic reports, press releases, etc.), which are distributed to members, clients and media partners;

Montreal, Quebec, Ca

Drafted briefing materials and analytical outputs for inclusion in Director General’s speeches, senior level presentations and working papers; Draft press releases, contribute to position papers and write-ups on the current state of the industry and future outlook; Guided the implementation of the latest methods to deseasonalize data for short run forecasts and the estimation of missing data using X13-ARIMA and other quantitative/econometric techniques; Work with consultants and experts to develop medium/long term forecasts;Modernized, automated and standardized statistical methods for quality control to ensure coherence, consistency, validity and reliability in ACI’s data processing activities, the calculation of indices and data dissemination activities;

Montreal, Quebec, Ca

Managed global surveys by (i) monitoring the implementation of time tables with relevant counterparts; (ii) proposing improvements to survey instruments; (iii) developing applications tools for capturing, extracting and analyzing data and indicators; (iv) Designing training material for questionnaire respondents and (v) resolving problems through support to Member States during data collections;Organized and assisted in delivering international training workshops and meetings for government statisticians, key stakeholders and regional staff;Provided technical backstopping to external consultants and professors under contract with the CI Statistics Unit to produce specialized analytical and statistical reports;Represented departmental units on cross-cutting software projects by providing specifications and use cases for appropriate reporting/analytical tools and applications to enhance operational efficiency;Contributed significantly to the technical components of international methodological standards for the purpose of cross-national comparability and measurement (e.g. indicator formulae, prototype questionnaire design, statistical definitions, etc.) Authored and coordinated the contributions of other team members and experts related to global policy in ICT for a major UN publication – World Telecommunication/ICT Development Report (Ch. 2 and 7)Supervised the work of statistical assistants in preparation of key publications and external requests from clients; Provided performance evaluations, statistical and computer training to support staff when required;Acted as coordinator for the International Working Group for ICT Statistics spanning 25 diverse countries; Subject matter expert for the UN’s Partnership on Measuring ICT for Development;Drafted project budgets monitor budget implementation; Coordinate every aspect of contract implementation with administrative/finance unit by drafting Terms of References;

Montreal, Quebec, Ca

Data analysis for international reports, fact sheets, ad-hoc requests from clients based on administrative data sources, sample surveys, international databases; Regularly contribute to statistical components of UNESCO Publications;Contributed analysis and research to UNESCO’s publication series released at the WorldSummit on the Information Society (Geneva 2003 and Tunis 2005);Title: Measuring and Monitoring the Information Society – A Statistical ChallengeConsistently collaborated with IT Technical Officers/Specialists and Developers for software development projects (e.g. Error Reporting System, E-questionnaire validation, Data Editing System, Outlier detection, Query design, website data dissemination, etc.);Cooperated with statisticians and researchers in other international organizations in the exchange of statistical data and on methodological issues (e.g. International Telecommunication Union, UNSTAT, UN Regional Commissions, World Bank, International Business Associations, etc.); Maintained a global network/database of contacts for future consultations or to solve inconsistencies in data reported to UIS;Appointed by Senior Management to a task force entitled the “Working Group for Managing External Requests for Data and Information” for ability to respond to diverse client needs; Appointed by Information Technology Department and Senior Management to the "Working Group for Electronic Questionnaires" for knowledge of respondent behavior/specifications, data validation issues and response patterns;Collaborated with colleagues on the "Data Indicative Verification Application (DIVA)” Task Force; Applied knowledge of quality assurance techniques and proposed tests and statistical applications for detecting outliers (e.g. modified z-score, x-bar charts, moving average thresholds, tukey's boxplot, etc.) in time series and cross sectional data;

Responsible for monitoring a portfolio of trade routes for international clients in a consulting firm serving the maritime industry;Provided statistical analysis/reports of the performance of ocean-going vessels for clients at regular intervals;Analyzed fuel/diesel consumption, track time gain/loss, off-hire calculations, estimated time of arrival of ships against charter party criteria in order to minimize transport costs;Consulted with senior management to find optimal weather routing and communicated this information to shipmasters.

M.A., Economics

Bachelor'S Degree, Economics