Specialist in risk modeling, project valuation and analytics for a wide range of industries.Background is in Oil&Gas, both from working in an Oil&Gas company (Petrobras/Brazil) and from providing consulting and training services to Oil&Gas companies in other countries (USA, Canada, UK, Portugal, Saudi Arabia, UAE, South Africa, SE Asia, etc).Partner and consultant at Imagine Risks&Analytics and MBA professor.I have a profound knowledge in Oil&Gas, Energy and Finance, and the ability to translate complex concepts of statistics and business into models in a simple and straightforward way.PROFESSIONAL BACKGROUND• Imagine Risks and Analytics (2016-Present): Founder and Consultant• The Ferryfield Group (UK, 2024-Present): Senior Consultant• Lumivero (EUA, 2022-Present): Senior Consultant• Palisade Corporation (EUA, 2012-2022): Senior Consultant• Petrobras (2006-2012): Risk Management• InovAtiva, Ministry of Economy (Brazil, 2018-Present): Volunteer mentor of startups• IPOG - Instituto de Pós-Graduação (Brazil, 2022-Present): MBA Professor• Saint Paul Business School (Brazil, 2019-Present): MBA Professor• MBA in Finance, Investments and Risk (FGV)• M.Sc. and B.Sc. in Mechanical Engineering (UFSC)• Certified Energy Risk Professional (GARP, Global Association of Risk Professionals)• Fluent in English, Spanish and Portuguese• Solid international experience with consulting and training services provided to companies in 25 countriesSKILLS AND EXPERTISE• Risk management and quantitative risk analysis• Valuation, cash flow, CFaR, VaR• Pricing of derivatives and options• Forecast models with regression, time series, neural networks and machine learning• Monte Carlo simulation, stochastic optimization, decision trees• Excel, VBA, R, Python, @RISK, ModelRisk• Project, Primavera Risk, Tamara, Safran• Evaluation of risk exposure, and translating them quantitatively into useful information for the decision making process• Synthesizing and communicating complex ideas and concepts from math/statistics/finance in a simple and straightforward wayPREVIOUS CONSULTING AND TRAINING CLIENTS• Most large Oil&Gas majors/IOCs• Most important NOCs in the Middle East, South America, and SE Asia• Mining companies in North America, South America, and Africa• Utility companies in Canada, US, Europe, and South America• Construction companies in the US, and Brazil• Consulting firms• Investment banks and insurance companies in the US, and Asia• Government in different countries (finance, defense, aerospace, infrastructure, World Cup hosts, etc)
Listed skills include Decision Analysis, Project Valuation, Quantitative Risk Analysis, Time Series Analysis, and 46 others.