Metaculus

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Metaculus is a forecasting technology platform that optimally aggregates quantitative predictions of future events. Research shows that with the right incentives and feedback, groups of people can make remarkably accurate predictions of the probability of future events. Our mission is to build epistemic infrastructure that enables the global community to model, understand, predict, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.

Company Details

Employees
28
Founded
-
Address
Box 7324, Santa Cruz,ca 95060,united States
Industry
Technology, Information And Internet
HQ
Santa Cruz, CA
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Metaculus Questions

News

AI Is Learning to Predict the Future—And Beating Humans at It - Time Magazine

AI Is Learning to Predict the Future—And Beating Humans at It Time Magazine

AI Agriculture Adoption Statistics 2025: Key Insights - Farmonaut

AI Agriculture Adoption Statistics 2025: Key Insights Farmonaut

The Economics of AI Apocalypse - American Enterprise Institute - AEI

The Economics of AI Apocalypse American Enterprise Institute - AEI

SpaceX’s Wild Week: Double Launches, Debris Controversy & a Crane Collapse Rock the Space Giant (28-30, June, 2025) - ts2.tech

SpaceX’s Wild Week: Double Launches, Debris Controversy & a Crane Collapse Rock the Space Giant (28-30, June, 2025) ts2.tech

Metaculus: a prediction website with an eye on science and technology - YaleNews

Metaculus: a prediction website with an eye on science and technology YaleNews

Come Compete in the White Hat Cyber Forecasting Challenge - R Street Institute

Come Compete in the White Hat Cyber Forecasting Challenge R Street Institute

Aggregating probabilistic predictions of the safety, efficacy, and timing of a COVID-19 vaccine - medRxiv

Aggregating probabilistic predictions of the safety, efficacy, and timing of a COVID-19 vaccine medRxiv

Forecasting community Metaculus predicts human-like AI by 2026 - the-decoder.com

Forecasting community Metaculus predicts human-like AI by 2026 the-decoder.com

Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment - BMC Infectious Diseases

Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment BMC Infectious Diseases

AI timelines: What do experts in artificial intelligence expect for the future? - Our World in Data

AI timelines: What do experts in artificial intelligence expect for the future? Our World in Data

Anthony Aguirre - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Anthony Aguirre Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Why humans are still much better than AI at forecasting the future - vox.com

Why humans are still much better than AI at forecasting the future vox.com

British AI startup beats humans in international forecasting competition - The Guardian

British AI startup beats humans in international forecasting competition The Guardian

Federal Reserve Warns Against Potential Risks Posed by Quantum Computers and AI - The National Law Review

Federal Reserve Warns Against Potential Risks Posed by Quantum Computers and AI The National Law Review

Is it possible to predict the future of the war in Ukraine? Online forecasting communities think so - EL PAÍS English

Is it possible to predict the future of the war in Ukraine? Online forecasting communities think so EL PAÍS English

How Fast Will AI Automation Arrive? - Uncharted Territories | Tomas Pueyo

How Fast Will AI Automation Arrive? Uncharted Territories | Tomas Pueyo

Some AGI Optimism: An Early Xmas Present - American Enterprise Institute - AEI

Some AGI Optimism: An Early Xmas Present American Enterprise Institute - AEI

25 things we think will happen in 2025 - vox.com

25 things we think will happen in 2025 vox.com

The Future of AI and the US Economy, According to Goldman Sachs - American Enterprise Institute - AEI

The Future of AI and the US Economy, According to Goldman Sachs American Enterprise Institute - AEI

US polls: Harris ahead of Trump for third week in a row - EL PAÍS English

US polls: Harris ahead of Trump for third week in a row EL PAÍS English

This Site Keeps Track of Elon Musk’s Predictions About The Future - Futurism

This Site Keeps Track of Elon Musk’s Predictions About The Future Futurism

Prediction markets bet against bird flu becoming the next COVID-19 - Boing Boing

Prediction markets bet against bird flu becoming the next COVID-19 Boing Boing

British AI startup wins human vs AI competition - The News International

British AI startup wins human vs AI competition The News International

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