My name is John Blankinship and I am offering a neural network predictive modeling service. If I cannot build a predictive model that is better than what you already have, there is no charge for my service.I have developed C-language software for the training, validation and delivery of Multilayer Perceptron neural networks. Given a training set of examples, I am confident that I can build a neural network model that will outperform an existing model (neural network or otherwise) with respect to independent validation data — especially for complex data mapping problems with significant nonlinearities or interactions. And I will accomplish this within a week. If the client likes the model's performance, it can be purchased — in the form of a "Weights File" and a C-language function. Otherwise, there is no cost to the client. Key features include:• Neural network models can be applied to classical regression problems, as well as classification and logistic regression problems. For regression problems, neural networks are trained using the Squared Error function with linear outputs. For classification and logistic regression problems, the Cross-Entropy error function is used with logistic or "softmax" outputs.• The Backpropagation algorithm with momentum and online learning is used for training. To facilitate learning down the error surface, the learning rate is dynamically tuned during training.• Using a method called "early stopping," predictive performance is continually monitored during training with respect to an independent "holdout" sample to help avoid overtraining• To help find a superior model and to avoid unsatisfactory local minima, a large number of candidate models are built and tested for 19 different network configurations, 9 different random weight initializations and 3 different learning rates — for a total of 19 X 9 X 3= 513 candidate models. Model selection among the candidate models is based primarily on the predictive performance against the independent holdout sample.• The selected model is validated against both training and validation data (if provided), and includes (1) an analysis of variance, (2) a confusion matrix for classification problems, (3) product moment and rank correlation of predicted vs. observed responses, (4) analysis of residuals, (5) a sensitivity analysis of the importance of each input variable, and (6) scored training and validation data sets• If you are interested, please e-mail me at JB-Nets@msn.com. Sample output deliverables and more detailed information are available upon request.
Listed skills include Neural Networks, Predictive Modeling, Artificial Intelligence, and Statistical Modeling.